Crown Green HandicapFairPlay Bowls
Live
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Birkenhead Sync08/09/2026|
Back to Players
Crown Green Handicap

Duncan Holmes

Team: Port Sunlight Village & Works BDivision: League 3Last updated: 10/24/2026

Rating

699

Current Handicap

12
Honours
Season:

10

Matches Played

6

Wins

4

Losses

60%

Win Rate

7.8

Avg Win Margin

12.8

Avg Loss Margin

3-3

Home Record

3-1

Away Record

7%

Handicap Confidence

Low Confidence
10 / 39 matches for full confidence· Last recorded match: 8/21/2017

Only 10 of the 39 matches needed for full confidence in the 2024, 2025, 2026 window. The rating is pulled toward the league average, so the handicap may shift noticeably as more results arrive.

Milestones

Career

No career milestones yet — keep bowling!

Next goal: Hot Streak 153/15
✦SEASON HIGHLIGHTS

No season milestones recorded yet.

Handicap Trend

All Time · 10 matches

+12 Rising
Win on the night Loss on the nightLower handicap = stronger player

The line re-checks the handicap after every match — from results, winning and losing margins, the strength of who was played, and home or away. Each dot is the number that applied going into the next game.

24 Apr19 May12 Jun3 Jul14 Jul21 Aug-1371115

Gives 12 more chalks than at the start of this period.

Started0
Lowest0
Current12
Win Percentage(40%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.08
Avg Winning Margin(25%)
7.8
score-0.03→contribution-0.01
Avg Losing Margin(15%)
12.8
score-0.79→contribution-0.12
Recent Form (last 20)(10%)
60%
score+0.20→contribution+0.02
Opponent Strength(10%)
715
score-0.11→contribution-0.01
Weighted Score-0.036
Sample Size Confidence
7%(10/39 matches)
Rating982 → shrunk 999→ adjusted 699
Handicap
12

Formula: Rating = 1000 + (weighted score × 500). Each factor is normalized to −1…+1, multiplied by its weight, then summed. Window: factors are computed from the Handicap Calculation Years only (2024, 2025, 2026), excluding walkovers — the same window the official recalculation uses. Bayesian shrinkage: the raw rating is pulled toward 1000 by confidence (window matches ÷ 39, an adaptive threshold set by the last recalculation). Offsets: division and B/C/D team offsets are then applied, weighted by where each window match was played. Recency blend: the calculation years are re-weighted at up to 40% by match volume. Players with a long career but fewer than 5 window matches fall back to their full career record. Rating maps to handicap 0–15 (lower = stronger) via the league's spread multiplier.

League

6W4L10 matches·60% win rate
ClubSeasonsDivision(s)PWLWin %
Port Sunlight Village & Works B2017League 3106460%
DateOpponentH/AScoreResultMarginCompetitionDivision
8/21/2017Paul SmythH21-14WIN+7LeagueLeague 3
7/17/2017Roy WestonA21-9WIN+12LeagueLeague 3
7/14/2017John WyburnH21-12WIN+9LeagueLeague 3
7/3/2017Teresa DobsonH7-21LOSS-14LeagueLeague 3
6/30/2017Frank WilliamsonA3-21LOSS-18LeagueLeague 3
6/12/2017Bill BurgessA21-13WIN+8LeagueLeague 3
6/9/2017Joan LawrenceH15-21LOSS-6LeagueLeague 3
5/19/2017Don LawrenceA21-20WIN+1LeagueLeague 3
5/5/2017Pat AshleyH21-11WIN+10LeagueLeague 3
4/24/2017Neil WainwrightH8-21LOSS-13LeagueLeague 3
Cartwright Cup1 games · 1W
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Round of 16 RoundKenny BrierleyPoulton21-13WINLOST
Cec Hannay Rose Bowl1 games · 0W
20171 round
RoundOpponentTeamScoreResultTeam
Preliminary Round*b Jamie BoxNew Brighton Quarry Vikings B8-21LOSSLOST

Current Streak

3wins

On a hot run

Longest Win Run

3

Career best winning streak

Longest Loss Run

2

Career worst losing streak

Last 560% win rate
WWWLL
Last 1060% win rate— steady
WWWLLWLWWL
OpponentWLTotalWin %Last Met
Paul Smyth101100%8/21/2017
Roy Weston101100%7/17/2017
John Wyburn101100%7/14/2017
Teresa Dobson0110%7/3/2017
Frank Williamson0110%6/30/2017
Bill Burgess101100%6/12/2017
Joan Lawrence0110%6/9/2017
Don Lawrence101100%5/19/2017
Pat Ashley101100%5/5/2017
Neil Wainwright0110%4/24/2017
Biggest Win
Roy Weston (+12)7/17/2017
Heaviest Defeat
Frank Williamson (-18)6/30/2017
Best Season
201760% · 10 matches
Worst Season
201760% · 10 matches
Form Arc (1st half → 2nd half)
60% → 60%improving
Avg Opponent Rating Faced
6839 known · 1 unknown
vs Strong Opponents (rating ≥ 1000)
1-150% win rate
vs Weak Opponents (rating < 1000)
4-357% win rate
League 360%
6W·4L·10 played

Debut

Apr 24, 2017

Latest

Aug 21, 2017

Seasons Active

1 (4 mo span)

Matches / Season

10.0 (10 total)

Seasons

2017